Weekly Market Snapshot – June 21st, 2021
Created by: Sam Tenney
- The Federal Reserve member rate hike expectations sharply raised this month, with Reserve Board Members now expecting two full rate hikes by 2023. Average inflation projections also jumped to 3.4% over the timeframe.¹
- Lumber prices are now down 48% from their peak, currently trading at $875 per thousand feet down from $1686 in early May. Lumber product researchers have said this is largely due to increased services spending by consumers over renovation spending. ²
- Thursday, June 17th, The Federal Reserve raised the Interest on Excess Reserves (IOER) rate to 0.15%, and the Overnight Reverse Repurchase (ORR) rate to 0.05%. As we have noted the past few weeks, the ORR facility has hit new all time highs of volume of $755 Billion, 50% higher then last weeks all time high, due to the privately set Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) reaching near the 0% lower bound on the federal funds rate. ³
SOURCES
1. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/fed-holds-rates-steady-but-raises-inflation-expectations-sharply-and-makes-no-mention-of-taper.html
2. https://www.ft.com/content/38bedc2b-e605-4b7c-8f6e-9f61c398718c
3. https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-fed-reverse-repo/update-1-fed-reverse-repo-volume-soars-to-another-record-after-rate-adjustment-idUSL2N2NZ23Y
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